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Mark Dubowitz

πŸ‘€ Speaker
2039 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 – Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

They can emerge with advanced centrifuges that they can install in as many enrichment facilities as they want to build.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 – Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

and Iran can enrich to higher and higher levels.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 – Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

So they can go from 3.67 to 20%.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 – Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

They can go to 60%.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 – Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

There's nothing in the JCPOA that actually prohibits them from going to 90% in Mediterranean.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 – Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

And I think at the time, the Obama administration's theory of the case was, yeah,

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 – Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

Sure, in 15 years' time, but in 15 years' time, we'll be gone.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 – Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

Hopefully, there'll be a different government in Iran, and maybe we can renegotiate a different agreement with that government that will extend the sunsets.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 – Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

So that's the JCPOA.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 – Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

The reason that critics of the JCPOAβ€”and I was one of themβ€”

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 – Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

We objected to the deal is not because it didn't have some short term temporary restrictions that were useful, but that if you got it wrong and there was the same regime in power in 15 years, that regime could emerge with this huge nuclear program with the capabilities to develop nuclear weapons in these multiple hardened sites.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 – Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

Iran, we estimated, would have a trillion dollars in sanctions relief over that 15-year period.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 – Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

And if you got it wrong that it was the same regime in power as had been in power in 2015, then you had some difficulties.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 – Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

I just wanted to lay out the case against the JCPOA.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 – Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

Now, to steel man Scott's argument, I think there's a legitimate argument because I actually didn't support the withdrawal from the agreement.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 – Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

President Trump withdrew in 2018.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 – Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

I did a similar version of what Scott was suggesting, was I thought that the United States should negotiate with the Europeans, the French, the Germans, and the UK, who were part of the original deal, extend the sunsets as an agreement between the United States and Europe, and then collectively go to the Iranians and say, let's renegotiate this agreement to extend the sunsets.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 – Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

If you don't want a nuclear weapons program, then you should agree that you don't need these capabilities.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 – Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

and let's extend the sunsets for another 15, 20, 30 years.

Lex Fridman Podcast
#473 – Iran War Debate: Nuclear Weapons, Trump, Peace, Power & the Middle East

President Trump- Somebody give me a screenshot of this.