Mark Halperin

Now, there are other races people talk about Montana, Nebraska.

I'm not saying if it's a huge Democratic year, these races can't go Democratic.

They could.

Unlikely, but they could.

What I'm saying to you is you don't need to think about those.

Because if those races, places like Nebraska and Montana, if those are going Democratic, they'll have the majority easily.

But we're just talking about the tipping point.

How did they get to 51?

And that's why I'm focused on the nine I'm focused on.

So in a moment, we'll walk through all nine races together.

I'll explain to you where I see things based on my reporting with sources in both parties.

And that will give you the micro of the macro I just went through.

of just how challenging it's going to be, even in a year where people have doubts about Donald Trump, where Democrats are fired up, where Democrats have won a lot of special elections, Democrats are raising a lot of money in a lot of cases.

Even with all that, you will have a better sense, I think, than you'll get anywhere else of what it will take and how challenging it will be.

The race-by-race, state-by-state breakdown is next up.

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