Mark Halperin

U.S.

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All right, next up, let's break down the individual Senate races and talk about why Democrats' chances of getting the majority are not as great as people are saying these days.

And let's start with the three seats currently held by Democrats where Republicans have a chance to win.

And let's start with New Hampshire.

This is an open seat, retiring incumbent.

And Democrats have a chosen consensus candidate.

A proven vote-getter, Congressman Chris Pappas.

He represents one of the state's two congressional districts.

He's known throughout the state.

It's a small state.

And he's right in line with sort of the consensus of the Democratic Party.

Democrats have done well in Senate races in the state for a while.

I think he's probably the favorite.

But the Republican primaries in September and John Sununu is one of the two candidates, along with Scott Brown.