Matt Teichman
speaker
11,523 appearances
153 recordings
1 series
first heard Jul 2009
last heard 21 Jul
Matt Teichman’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 6 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 1.
Appearances
And how can you make yourself more right next time you do an important prediction?
I mean including the one you opened with, right?
Like is somebody going to make a deadline every week?
We don't have a 538 for that.
they tend to be about the Oscars and stuff, not about like important things.
Indeed.
Right.
So part of the proposal is like, yeah, make them be about important things.
Yeah.
When is it illegal to do this?
Burrus, Jr.: Or could we put them in a casino and where it's regulated and allowed and whatnot?
Would that be another
So under our current system.
The only way to make maybe some of these more adventurous prediction markets work is to find a loophole of this kind.
So what are some examples of uh applications, you know, within an organization?
We talked about one, we could maybe have a market to estimate whether this project is going to finish in time.
Right.
But what are similar kinds of um uses of prediction markets within an organization?
Yeah.
So anytime there's a metric of success in a company, you can make predictions about where that's go you know, who is going to be successful, et cetera.
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