Mike Knoop
speaker
927 appearances
4 recordings
1 series
first heard Mar 2025
last heard 18 Nov
Mike Knoop’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Nov 2025 with 1.
Appearances
Over the last ten years, I would sort of characterize we've really had two only two major breakthroughs.
We've had the Transformer in twenty seventeen, obviously that led to language models.
And then we had Chain of Thought that was originally introduced in twenty twenty two and
sort of you know, went through QSTAR into chain of into AI reasoning systems and has gotten scaled up.
Um and and so like this was against the backdrop of like compute scaling, right?
And this compute scaling was certainly necessary, but it wasn't sort of sufficient.
These like key conceptual unlocks were sort of the sufficient things to take advantage of that compute.
Um and so my kind of take at this point, having looked at all this progression this year, is that like AI reasoning systems with with no new innovation from here.
can basically enable sort of mass automation because a lot of problems can be care can fit into that characterization where we can generate lots of examples that uh look like the problem and we can get a verifiable feed feedback signal from them.
Um, you know, a any problem that can be kind of cast and then characterized in that way, I think, ca can be automated at this point.
No questions asked.
And and then the big motivating factors, I think, really for
Mass innovation.
Like that's that's sort of what we're still not seeing.
You know, that we don't we we still need new ideas for this.
And I think that's closer to like an AGI complete problem.
we're only a year into the AR reasoning paradigm, right?
Like the first major one only came out 12 months ago.
And I think 2025, like in my view, is basically characterized on starting to figure out how to actually bring these things into production systems.
Sure.
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