Mitchell Hartman
speaker
1,202 appearances
42 recordings
3 series
first heard Jan 2025
last heard 15 Sep
Mitchell Hartman’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 41 in all, peaking in Jan 2026 with 7.
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The economy has been adding an anemic 50,000 jobs a month on average over the last year, just one-third of the rate in 2024.
And more of the same is expected for January, says Boston College economist Brian Bethune.
What's more, the January jobs report also comes with something called annual benchmark revisions, which are expected to reduce the number of jobs added to the economy last year by 6,000 to 900,000, says economist Joe Bersuelas at consulting firm RSM.
meaning we're probably going to see a net decline in jobs for the entire year of 2025.
Bruce Willis says there are a bunch of reasons why the job market has stagnated, starting with a declining supply of workers for employers to hire.
You've got the long-run demographic issues caused by the retirement of the boomers.
Second, very tight immigration policy, which is a choice on the part of the Trump administration.
Also, he says, companies overhired during the post-pandemic recovery, and now they're slimming down.
Plus, they've invested heavily in automation and AI, which is increasing productivity and reducing their need for more workers right now.
Turning to the inflation data we'll get later this week, economists expect a decline in headline consumer price inflation for January from 2.7 to 2.5 percent year over year.
But for consumers in the real economy, it might not feel like that, says Joe Bersuelis.
Most Americans would say there's a common baseline around rent prices, electricity is increasing, and food is increasing.
So for them, that means inflation is probably closer to 3.5 to 4%.
And with wages rising about the same amount on average, that means most workers, even if they can hold on to their jobs, don't feel like they're getting ahead in this economy.
I'm Mitchell Hartman for Marketplace.
This has been a perennial theme in a period of geopolitical volatility.
So if the United States Treasury sells bonds and foreigners don't show up at the auctions to buy bonds, that means that domestic purchasers are probably going to require higher interest rates to choose to buy those bonds.
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