Nate Silver

Everyone who's a young investor who may not be established would want to go to this firm. And therefore, he makes great connections, develops a good eye for talent. And his skill set is really knowing a little bit about a lot and being a good networker. He is not, I don't think, a coding genius.

You know, he has a good eye for sniffing out what the next big thing is going to be. All the guys, including the bad and evil people, are impressive. But Sam Altman, because it's kind of this crazy idea, I'm obviously supplying this a lot, but just leave this computer on for a really long time. It's not clear what the commercial applications are. And it's expensive.

You know, he has a good eye for sniffing out what the next big thing is going to be. All the guys, including the bad and evil people, are impressive. But Sam Altman, because it's kind of this crazy idea, I'm obviously supplying this a lot, but just leave this computer on for a really long time. It's not clear what the commercial applications are. And it's expensive.

You know, he has a good eye for sniffing out what the next big thing is going to be. All the guys, including the bad and evil people, are impressive. But Sam Altman, because it's kind of this crazy idea, I'm obviously supplying this a lot, but just leave this computer on for a really long time. It's not clear what the commercial applications are. And it's expensive.

To buy a compute is expensive, right? It's not like a Silicon Valley garage somewhere where you're just hacking together a project. No clear financial upside, which is why it started out as a nonprofit that's obviously de facto already over. I'm not going to get into the legal structure exactly.

To buy a compute is expensive, right? It's not like a Silicon Valley garage somewhere where you're just hacking together a project. No clear financial upside, which is why it started out as a nonprofit that's obviously de facto already over. I'm not going to get into the legal structure exactly.

To buy a compute is expensive, right? It's not like a Silicon Valley garage somewhere where you're just hacking together a project. No clear financial upside, which is why it started out as a nonprofit that's obviously de facto already over. I'm not going to get into the legal structure exactly.

But like wrestling together, Elon Musk and Microsoft and Peter Thiel was an early investor, all these people. He was kind of playing the captain of that fantasy baseball team. Sam is an effective politician. He understands different constituencies in Silicon Valley, kind of reflects their ideology and is very risk-on.

But like wrestling together, Elon Musk and Microsoft and Peter Thiel was an early investor, all these people. He was kind of playing the captain of that fantasy baseball team. Sam is an effective politician. He understands different constituencies in Silicon Valley, kind of reflects their ideology and is very risk-on.

But like wrestling together, Elon Musk and Microsoft and Peter Thiel was an early investor, all these people. He was kind of playing the captain of that fantasy baseball team. Sam is an effective politician. He understands different constituencies in Silicon Valley, kind of reflects their ideology and is very risk-on.

So Sam McMinfree, again, SBF, not Sam Altman, literally said repeatedly, like, if I could flip a coin... And the coin comes up heads, and the world is twice as good, plus 1%. And if it's tails, we wipe out all life in the known universe. I would flip that coin from utilitarian standpoint, right? That's a worldview, isn't it? Sam Altman wouldn't do that at 50-50. He might do it at 90-10, though.

So Sam McMinfree, again, SBF, not Sam Altman, literally said repeatedly, like, if I could flip a coin... And the coin comes up heads, and the world is twice as good, plus 1%. And if it's tails, we wipe out all life in the known universe. I would flip that coin from utilitarian standpoint, right? That's a worldview, isn't it? Sam Altman wouldn't do that at 50-50. He might do it at 90-10, though.

So Sam McMinfree, again, SBF, not Sam Altman, literally said repeatedly, like, if I could flip a coin... And the coin comes up heads, and the world is twice as good, plus 1%. And if it's tails, we wipe out all life in the known universe. I would flip that coin from utilitarian standpoint, right? That's a worldview, isn't it? Sam Altman wouldn't do that at 50-50. He might do it at 90-10, though.

SpaceX actually was in very hairy situation for a long time.

SpaceX actually was in very hairy situation for a long time.

SpaceX actually was in very hairy situation for a long time.

And so he's been written off a few times. But once you have the chip on your shoulder, and with Sam Altman, AI is taking a long time to let it train on basically reading the entire text of the internet and thinking scare quotes about it for a really long time. And then all of a sudden with GPT-2 and then certainly 3 and beyond that, it's like this kind of miraculous.

And so he's been written off a few times. But once you have the chip on your shoulder, and with Sam Altman, AI is taking a long time to let it train on basically reading the entire text of the internet and thinking scare quotes about it for a really long time. And then all of a sudden with GPT-2 and then certainly 3 and beyond that, it's like this kind of miraculous.

And so he's been written off a few times. But once you have the chip on your shoulder, and with Sam Altman, AI is taking a long time to let it train on basically reading the entire text of the internet and thinking scare quotes about it for a really long time. And then all of a sudden with GPT-2 and then certainly 3 and beyond that, it's like this kind of miraculous.

Yeah, so you have faith in it. And most of these guys, not that I have the whole faith thing worked out, but I think you start to get into some weird existential and spiritual questions for various reasons. When you're talking about smarter than human intelligence, when you're talking about life extension, these guys get into weird simulation hypothesis and things like that.