Nate Silver

Yeah, so you have faith in it. And most of these guys, not that I have the whole faith thing worked out, but I think you start to get into some weird existential and spiritual questions for various reasons. When you're talking about smarter than human intelligence, when you're talking about life extension, these guys get into weird simulation hypothesis and things like that.

Yeah, so you have faith in it. And most of these guys, not that I have the whole faith thing worked out, but I think you start to get into some weird existential and spiritual questions for various reasons. When you're talking about smarter than human intelligence, when you're talking about life extension, these guys get into weird simulation hypothesis and things like that.

And most of them are secular. I kind of halfway predict there might be a little bit of a religious boom in Silicon Valley sometime soon as they try to wrestle with it. But Sam feels like he's seen this miracle happen. And then he gets written off at different times. The board tried to clumsily oust him from his own company. And then once you survive that, then you're emboldened.

And most of them are secular. I kind of halfway predict there might be a little bit of a religious boom in Silicon Valley sometime soon as they try to wrestle with it. But Sam feels like he's seen this miracle happen. And then he gets written off at different times. The board tried to clumsily oust him from his own company. And then once you survive that, then you're emboldened.

And most of them are secular. I kind of halfway predict there might be a little bit of a religious boom in Silicon Valley sometime soon as they try to wrestle with it. But Sam feels like he's seen this miracle happen. And then he gets written off at different times. The board tried to clumsily oust him from his own company. And then once you survive that, then you're emboldened.

I think he's the most rational of all the people I met. I think he understands his incentives. So I talked to him in summer 2022. The book took four years to write. At first, I tried to get another interview later on once GPT 3.5 had come out. They're like friendly, but like Sam was traveling the world for the next six months. And he first do interviews in person. So it might be difficult.

I think he's the most rational of all the people I met. I think he understands his incentives. So I talked to him in summer 2022. The book took four years to write. At first, I tried to get another interview later on once GPT 3.5 had come out. They're like friendly, but like Sam was traveling the world for the next six months. And he first do interviews in person. So it might be difficult.

I think he's the most rational of all the people I met. I think he understands his incentives. So I talked to him in summer 2022. The book took four years to write. At first, I tried to get another interview later on once GPT 3.5 had come out. They're like friendly, but like Sam was traveling the world for the next six months. And he first do interviews in person. So it might be difficult.

You come to Cambodia. At first, this interview is like a year and a half old, but it was actually better because he was less guarded. Back then, he's like, yeah, it could go really badly, but we're going to solve global poverty. And wouldn't that be really good? We'll solve all technological and scientific problems.

You come to Cambodia. At first, this interview is like a year and a half old, but it was actually better because he was less guarded. Back then, he's like, yeah, it could go really badly, but we're going to solve global poverty. And wouldn't that be really good? We'll solve all technological and scientific problems.

You come to Cambodia. At first, this interview is like a year and a half old, but it was actually better because he was less guarded. Back then, he's like, yeah, it could go really badly, but we're going to solve global poverty. And wouldn't that be really good? We'll solve all technological and scientific problems.

And that's worth the tangible risk that things go really wrong and we destroy civilization. That's, I think, a relatively honest comment. It may be deranged, but an honest expression of what he thinks. And then people are like, oh, this must be a marketing strategy.

And that's worth the tangible risk that things go really wrong and we destroy civilization. That's, I think, a relatively honest comment. It may be deranged, but an honest expression of what he thinks. And then people are like, oh, this must be a marketing strategy.

And that's worth the tangible risk that things go really wrong and we destroy civilization. That's, I think, a relatively honest comment. It may be deranged, but an honest expression of what he thinks. And then people are like, oh, this must be a marketing strategy.

It's like, no, Tylenol wasn't like, we might poison the water stream if people have more Tylenol, but let's keep, this is like not a typical strategy.

It's like, no, Tylenol wasn't like, we might poison the water stream if people have more Tylenol, but let's keep, this is like not a typical strategy.

It's like, no, Tylenol wasn't like, we might poison the water stream if people have more Tylenol, but let's keep, this is like not a typical strategy.

And it's because I come from this mindset where number one, they are taught to quantify everything in probabilistic terms, which again, I think is more good than bad, but is not the way most people, apart from me and all the people in the river think about these things and to think in terms of cost benefit analysis.

And it's because I come from this mindset where number one, they are taught to quantify everything in probabilistic terms, which again, I think is more good than bad, but is not the way most people, apart from me and all the people in the river think about these things and to think in terms of cost benefit analysis.

And it's because I come from this mindset where number one, they are taught to quantify everything in probabilistic terms, which again, I think is more good than bad, but is not the way most people, apart from me and all the people in the river think about these things and to think in terms of cost benefit analysis.