Nick Timiraos

speaker
252 appearances 6 recordings 1 series first heard Sep 2017 last heard Nov 2024

Nick Timiraos’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Because that would make it easier to pass more sweeping changes on taxes and spending.
You don't have to deal with divided government, so it doesn't slow you down as much.
And there are some concerns that with either Harris or Trump, you could see deficits rise, interest rates might go up if investors are concerned that there's just going to be a bigger supply of government debt out there with the same number of people to buy those bonds.
The Fed is not going to make any immediate changes based on the election.
They're going to want to see what the new president plans to do.
And as that agenda comes into focus and as they begin to act on that agenda, it could determine, do they think that this means the economy is going to be stronger and maybe they don't have to cut interest rates as much?
Do they worry that tariffs or stricter immigration rules might prevent inflation from coming all the way back down?
to their target.
And so maybe they should slow down interest rate cuts.
Those are the sorts of questions that they will have to turn over in the months ahead.
We all know the economy's slowing.
You couldn't have sustained the really eye-popping growth rates that we saw when we reopened from the pandemic in 2021 and 2022.
So the question is, we're slowing, but to what?
A recession has been seen as a real possibility beginning two years ago, because it was two years ago
that inflation, you recall, hit 9% and the Federal Reserve, which is in charge of controlling inflation, began to really jack up interest rates.
They raised interest rates at the fastest pace since the 1980s, which was the last time we had inflation this high.
And the way that the Fed fixed inflation in the 1980s was to cause a recession.
Unemployment went up a lot in the early 1980s.
And so the thinking was, oh my goodness, is this what's going to happen again?
A lot of people thought that things were out of control and that the only way to restore control was going to be a downturn.
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