Noah Smith

speaker

437 appearances 1 recordings 1 series first heard Jul 2026 last heard 24 Jul

Noah Smith’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 1.

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Prof G Markets · America’s Economy Is Entering a New Era — ft. Noah Smith · 24 Jul 2026 podcast

And so there are, you know, viruses that that kill all, you know, most of humanity or all of humanity don't naturally tend to evolve because those viruses will burn themselves out.

So but but you maybe you can make one.

if you intentionally design it.

And our controls on bio labs are very weak.

We need to implement stronger controls on the places where these things could actually be made and disseminated in the physical world.

It'll be a while before we get these fully automated robot labs, but humans can make stuff.

And humans who insert some genetic mutation into a virus and then email it to you, not email it to you, just mail it to you through the post office,

They don't necessarily know that the mutations they inserted into common COVID-19 are going to turn it into a virus that just kills all humanity.

They don't know that because they're not AI.

They can't understand.

So we need to deploy a defense in depth against doomsday viruses.

And that's just not being done yet, although people are starting to talk about it more.

But if you're not scared about this, you should be more scared about this than you are.

China could absolutely subsidize, you know, subsidize inference so that its models are temporarily cheaper.

And then this throws a wrench into the profit, you know, profit and loss of anthropic and open AI.

And there's, you know, they cause them a crash, open AI and anthropic go out of business or don't have enough money to like train the next generation of models.

And then, you know, then then China's eliminated some American AI advantage

uh there it's absolutely possible that that could happen if but at the same time we have seen anthropic profitability uh is expected to be positive on an operating basis this year that's amazing for a company that with that amount of growth like usually if you're investing that much you do not you're not profitable like how how long did it take for amazon to be profitable

many, many, many, many, many years.

Anthropic's doing it much more quickly.

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