Paul Haenle
speaker
72 appearances
1 recordings
1 series
first heard Aug 2026
last heard 4 Aug
Paul Haenle’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Aug 2026 with 1.
Appearances
remaining distracted in the Middle East, but it will not benefit from a destabilized world.
So good question, Joyce.
And I actually think that the Iran conflict underscores to a large extent why China has placed so much emphasis on this new framework for constructive strategic stability and why both sides, both Washington and Beijing, have an interest in maintaining channels to manage strategic risk, even as the competition continues to intensify.
That concept was agreed to by both sides at the Beijing summit in May.
And this is important, I think, for listeners to understand.
It does not imply trust or partnership between the U.S.
and China.
What it does is it recognizes that the U.S.
and China are going to remain strategic competitors for the foreseeable future.
but that both sides see an interest in trying to prevent competition from escalating into confrontation or conflict.
In other words, I think the objective is no longer to avoid strategic competition, it's to prevent strategic competition from becoming strategic conflict.
In terms of the summit in Washington at the end of September, President Xi will travel to New York for the UN General Assembly, and then he'll go to Washington, D.C.
I would keep expectations modest.
One lesson is that these meetings with the Trump administration, working with the Chinese side, often come together much later than outside observers hope for or expect.
And my sense is we're seeing a similar dynamic this time, two months away.
I don't think the detailed planning has really begun, or it's at least in the early stages.
I don't anticipate major breakthroughs, but I do think the meeting, Joyce, as you're implying, is important to consolidate the understandings that were reached in May.
It will not fundamentally, however, change the trajectory of the relationship.
And I think that could include further progress on the board of trade, continued work toward establishing a board of investment, additional commercial announcements.
We did see a pickup of the military to military dialogue after the May summit.
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