Paul Jasper

speaker

2,975 appearances 5 recordings 1 series first heard May 2026 last heard 5 Aug

Paul Jasper’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 5 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 2.

Appearances

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Woodworking is BULLSHIT! · Episode 67 - Is ART for ARTIST, or is ART for the AUDIENCE? · 22 Jul 2026 podcast

It's not that easy.

Like, are you...

are you considering quantity?

Like maybe you put out more ideas when you're 30 or 40 or more papers or, you know, maybe you're publishing more, maybe you're doing more than you are when you're 60.

And that the probability of a good idea is the same at both ages.

It's just you're doing three times the work when you're young because you're young and hungry and poor and you want to

get a career under you and prove yourself.

So another scientist named Dennis argued exactly that, that this is not correct and that it's a result of quantity, not just quality.

And through a rigorous study, he showed that it's quantity that's happening in your late 30s, 40s.

You're doing more.

And that's why good ideas are happening.

But the probability of a good idea is the same when you're 30 versus when you're 50 or 60.

So that was a really interesting wrinkle to the whole idea that you peak when you're 30 or 40 and it's all downhill from there.

But that's actually representative of the quantity of work you're doing.

And then a third scientist, Simonton, said, yes, this is correct.

He backed this up with a massive data set.

He said, Dennis is correct.

It's about quantity.

the probability of a great idea is stable throughout your life and it is about volume, but he wanted to

Talk about when the good idea happens in your life.

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