Paul Kedrosky
speaker
1,259 appearances
4 recordings
2 series
first heard Apr 2026
last heard 6d ago
Paul Kedrosky’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 4 in all, peaking in Sep 2026 with 1.
Appearances
Filling the Measurement Gap.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
A couple of days ago.
And they argue that essentially AI, quality-adjusted AI output is up more than 2,000% per year.
They come up with estimates of like $250, $300 billion on top of the... But they essentially come to the conclusion that this is all true as long as you accept our redefinition of GDP.
And of course...
If you allow me to redefine GDP, I could present you with some tremendous numbers.
And the entire paper is absolutely fascinating as an example of what's often called motivated reasoning.
I need to believe this, therefore I construct an argument to allow me to continue to believe it.
And the way I get there is by redefining a variable that's already very squishy in the first place.
Let's not pretend that...
So measuring GDP is much easier than, I don't know, measuring muons in a cloud chamber or something.
It's still very hard.
And you're trying to make it harder to justify something that's just not defensible.
I told him.
Whoa.
We were filming Anchorman.
Clearly, I was the idiot.
Thank God he didn't listen to me, right?
I'll give you a related example which made the rounds yesterday, and it kind of gets to the heart of this misunderstanding.
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