Professor David Betts
speaker
94 appearances
1 recordings
1 series
first heard Jan 2026
last heard 30 Jan
Professor David Betts’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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Okay, so I imagine there will be two vectors of the civil conflict, which I imagine one is essentially between what in the current British lexicon is referred to usually as the kind of anywheres versus somewheres.
These are essentially elite versus street or mob versus blob.
You have a
essentially one vector of the conflict which has the nature of a peasant rebellion in which the mass of the population, which feels that it has been betrayed by its own elite, seeks to punish that elite and to bring it back into line with what it thinks is the kind of
traditional rules of the game.
That is what I mean when I invoked the image of the Northern Ireland Troubles, which is to say a kind of conflict which is characterized by chronic low-grade violence, assassinations, kidnappings, demonstrative beatings, things like that.
The other vector of the conflict is intertribal, and that is essentially between the native population, which is rapidly coming into a sense of appreciation of itself as a political community in line with the
the rules of identity politics like every other community.
And it's a conflict with more recent arrivals in the country, so with the non-native population, which is increasingly concentrated in enclaves.
And so you have basically these two vectors.
One you might imagine being vertical between
the mass of the population and its elite, and one being horizontal between two elements of the existing population that are essentially mutually incompatible.
Yes, I think that's fair.
The horizontal vector is one that would quite possibly lead towards balkanization.
Whereas the vertical is...
has more the nature of a peasant revolt.
So in other words, it has a revolutionary aspect to it.
The only thing that I hesitate around that is I don't think that this revolt is so much about the replacement of the elite.
It isn't that sort of thing.
What it is is...
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