Professor Scott Lucas
speaker
232 appearances
2 recordings
1 series
first heard Jul 2026
last heard 25 Jul
Professor Scott Lucas’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 2 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 2.
Appearances
That's that vital waterway through what, 20 to 25% of the world's maritime oil and gas passes.
Iran controls the Strait, which of course it did not before the war started on February 28th.
The Trump folks want to break Iranian control of the Strait because if they don't, they've got no alternative but to move towards a deal on Iranian terms.
And that's why we get these clashes that take place, including the most recent this week.
The Iranians will fire on a few vessels who are traveling through the Strait without their permission.
The Americans who would like those vessels to travel without Iranian permission will then retaliate by hitting Iranian military targets.
in the south of the country primarily.
And then after about 48 to 72 hours, everybody takes a step back and we all wonder if we're going to get back to negotiations.
Well, we're not getting as many civilian deaths as we got.
Now, that's very much a limited blessing at this point because the Israelis are continuing military operations to really set up a long-term occupation of southern Lebanon.
How deep it goes, we still wait to see.
But it does mean we still get a few deaths each day because the Israelis are trying to pick off certain targets, probably Hezbollah members.
But there are still some civilians who are getting killed.
So in one incident earlier this week, there was a doctor and effectively the people with whom she was traveling, a couple of her other family members and a Syrian worker.
And they were in a vehicle.
And whatever happened, whether or not the Israelis had the wrong details on the car, whether they just simply took a pot shot, they killed all four of these people.
Well, I think right now the Israelis have also got this election coming up, which is now going to take up a lot of the bandwidth because Netanyahu is facing a fairly serious challenge, not from the left of Israeli politics, I have to say, but from other aspects of the right who really blame him not just for a bundled war on Iran, but bundling the approach to Gaza over the past couple of years.
Because the attention for Israel has moved away from regime change in Iran for the moment to consolidating what they've got in southern Lebanon, as well as that expanding occupation of Gaza, I think everything is sort of in a tense but bearable relationship between Trump and Netanyahu.
Now, that's not to say it couldn't spark again, because you do get
very, you know, the hardliners, including the defense minister in Israel, talking about the fact of how they are going to bed in this occupation across Gaza, Lebanon, and Syria, and they'll use military action to do it.
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