Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter
speaker
351 appearances
17 recordings
1 series
first heard Oct 2010
last heard Jan 2021
Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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then the average intelligence level in both states would go up.
David Spiegelhalter.
My number of the year is 7.3.
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This is the average response given by about 165,000 people when the Office for National Statistics asked them, on a scale from 0 to 10, how happy were you yesterday?
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It's about the same as last year.
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About 15% were completely manic and said 10%, 1% were really miserable and said 0%,
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But only 10% said four or less.
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The question, are you satisfied with your life, got an average of 7.5.
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Higher if people were married, lower if they're unemployed, slightly higher for females.
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The most miserable age is 45 to 54.
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I remember it very well.
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And the highest is 65 to 79.
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I can't wait.
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Those smug Danes, when they were asked how happy they were yesterday, said 8.4, even in spite of the gloomy crime dramas they watch, while Bulgarians said 5.5 were the worst in Europe.
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That means, though, that if the happiest Bulgarians come to the UK, the average happiness in both countries will go down.
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Now, this is a curious effect known as the Will Rogers phenomenon.
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He was an American humorist who said that when he was talking about the Oklahoma migrants going to California before the Second World War, he said, when the Okies left Oklahoma and moved to California, they raised the average intelligence level in both states.
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What Will Rogers was getting at, that if the dimmest Okies left Oklahoma and moved to California, where they were brighter than the brightest Californians...
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then the average intelligence level in both states would go up.
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I think that the whole PISA enterprise could do with a lot more external review in terms of its statistical methods, which are unbelievably complex and rather opaque.
Showing 141–160 of 351 · page 8 of 18
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