Raina McIntyre

speaker
581 appearances 8 recordings 1 series first heard Feb 2020 last heard Feb 2021

Raina McIntyre’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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And it could be just the flu. matched
I I did read in the report that matched
Rhino virus, which is the common cold virus, was also um matched
a frequent diagnosis in people with these presentations. matched
And if it was coronavirus, I think it would have matched
Yeah, we'd expect to see more severely ill people, people with pneumonia, and that the pneumonia trends have not jumped. matched
There could be because of the nature of the virus, but it's far less likely matched
In a country like Australia that's taken pretty stringent measures. matched
uh with border control and quarantine. matched
um than in say, you know, Iran or Italy, which is seeing outbreaks at the moment. matched
So we know that we have more confidence in some of the parameters that were very uncertain. matched
Um, that was around the second of February, I think we spoke. matched
Um, and that includes um matched
the fact that the case fatality rate does look like it's around two to three percent. matched
The um reproductive number looks like it's about two point two. matched
That's the estimate I'm going with. matched
Yeah, the number of people that one person will infect on average. matched
Um matched
Yeah. matched
No, no, that's Wh when matched
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