Raina McIntyre

speaker
581 appearances 8 recordings 1 series first heard Feb 2020 last heard Feb 2021

Raina McIntyre’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Well, it would be nine, I think, because the epidemic peaked in China around the fifth to the sixth of February and the numbers have been declining since. matched
Um, however, that's just confirmed cases. matched
We know there's more cases than the confirmed cases. matched
Um so that's kind of a bit like the tip of the iceberg, but I think they've got a reasonable handle on things. matched
In China. matched
Um the problem now is we're starting to see these epidemics pop up in other countries like South Korea, um, Italy, Iran, um, where um I think the the case finding has been probably matched
quite good in South Korea, maybe not so in Iran and um matched
Uh it's probably improved a bit in the last couple of days in Italy 'cause they went from having matched
You know, two deaths and just a few handful of cases to matched
a hundred and fifty cases or so. matched
So they've obviously gone out and actively looked for cases in Italy. matched
Um matched
Yeah, that's what I'm talking about, as in it it's a pandemic. matched
So So it's everywhere. matched
So I'm thinking it's sort of ninety percent. matched
likelihood a pandemic will occur, but there's still a ten percent likelihood it won't. matched
So um if there still isn't sustained transmission in Australia, 'cause there doesn't matched
When they declare a pandemic there doesn't have to be sustained transmission everywhere. matched
So if we still only have cases that are coming off cruise ships or matched
um from China um that we've quarantined, etcetera. matched
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