Robert Pape
speaker
2,835 appearances
10 recordings
4 series
first heard Mar 2026
last heard 30 Jun
Robert Pape’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 10 in all, peaking in May 2026 with 4.
Appearances
Thank you so much for having me.
It's important in a couple of ways.
So number one, what you are watching in the last week is the escalation trap snapping back hard.
This is what I was worried about the last time we were on.
I realized we all want this war to be over.
We want it to be in the endgame.
And as I was trying to explain, we're in the middle game of the escalation trap, pretty much as I have been telling you for some time.
And also the modeling has shown.
What you see here is Iran is playing hardball.
It is Iran.
The big thing that is catching people by surprise is most people have been saying, well, if we could just get President Trump to stop bombing, stop doing the initiation of the violence.
then this whole thing will just be over.
We'll walk away.
It's all going to be good.
And we can go about our merry way.
Well, the problem is Iran is an actor.
And what you are seeing is, as I have been explaining on the posts on the Escalation Trap,
In this period of time, it's actually Iran who's most likely to initiate the violence, the bombing, to close the Strait of Hormuz or diminish the traffic to keep its leverage.
Iran is moving into its period of maximum leverage because the oil inventories are drying down.
In this period of time, it is going to use that leverage to force the Trump administration to stick to the four corners of the MOU.
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