Robert Pape
speaker
2,835 appearances
10 recordings
4 series
first heard Mar 2026
last heard 30 Jun
Robert Pape’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 10 in all, peaking in May 2026 with 4.
Appearances
Now, so far, they haven't gone beyond the four corners of the MOU.
I think we can see pretty clearly what Iran's red lines are, but they include Israel completely cease firing, not just lowering violence in Lebanon, probably Israel out of Lebanon.
Number two, this means the fees will come back in 60 days.
And but before we just got on, The New York Times is reporting that Oman is putting forward a piece of fee structure.
I don't I didn't have a chance to even read it, so I don't know if the full structure is there yet.
But what we're talking about with fees is I think what Iran said from the beginning, it's going to be two million bucks tanker.
There are 50 tankers or so going through.
That means leaving the Strait.
That's $100 million a day.
That is $36 billion a year.
That's in addition to all the oil revenues that they're going to get, all the waivers on all the sanctions.
So Iran, what they are doing, this isn't just a little bit of money.
This is what you would do to become ascendant as the dominant state in the Persian Gulf.
So what this is all about is not a return to the JCPOA idea.
It's not a business deal where we're paying Iran fee for service.
What it's about is the balance of power.
And that's what the three states here do.
don't agree on.
Iran thinks it should be the ascendant state, the regional hegemon.
The United States used to be the preeminent state in the region.
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