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Rory Stewart

πŸ‘€ Speaker
12739 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Rest Is Politics: Leading
188. Will AI Give China or the US Total Power? (William MacAskill)

But then you could have a world where you have an...

The Rest Is Politics: Leading
188. Will AI Give China or the US Total Power? (William MacAskill)

a military consisting of millions of such autonomous weapons controlled by a single person, you know, in the U.S., the commander-in-chief.

The Rest Is Politics: Leading
188. Will AI Give China or the US Total Power? (William MacAskill)

And that's a very scary situation, and it's one that we should be actively working to try and avoid.

The Rest Is Politics: Leading
188. Will AI Give China or the US Total Power? (William MacAskill)

I mean, for AI at the moment, it's utterly clearly the United States.

The Rest Is Politics: Leading
188. Will AI Give China or the US Total Power? (William MacAskill)

All of the frontier AI companies are based in the United States, where the leaders at the moment are Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, in particular DeepMind.

The Rest Is Politics: Leading
188. Will AI Give China or the US Total Power? (William MacAskill)

They're really the key three frontrunners.

The Rest Is Politics: Leading
188. Will AI Give China or the US Total Power? (William MacAskill)

Most computing power is based in the United States as well.

The Rest Is Politics: Leading
188. Will AI Give China or the US Total Power? (William MacAskill)

I think 60% of global computing power is in the United States.

The Rest Is Politics: Leading
188. Will AI Give China or the US Total Power? (William MacAskill)

China lags behind.

The Rest Is Politics: Leading
188. Will AI Give China or the US Total Power? (William MacAskill)

It kind of varies, but something like nine months behind.

The Rest Is Politics: Leading
188. Will AI Give China or the US Total Power? (William MacAskill)

And if they were having to do this kind of going alone, they would be much further behind again.

The Rest Is Politics: Leading
188. Will AI Give China or the US Total Power? (William MacAskill)

Now, a big part of all of this is because of the export controls, where the United States a number of years ago under Biden said it would restrict the sale of the most powerful chips to China.

The Rest Is Politics: Leading
188. Will AI Give China or the US Total Power? (William MacAskill)

So they're having to run on less powerful hardware.

The Rest Is Politics: Leading
188. Will AI Give China or the US Total Power? (William MacAskill)

as well as having a less well, they have many brilliant scientists, but it is a less well-developed kind of talent ecosystem than in the US.

The Rest Is Politics: Leading
188. Will AI Give China or the US Total Power? (William MacAskill)

So they're doing kind of a fast following approach.

The Rest Is Politics: Leading
188. Will AI Give China or the US Total Power? (William MacAskill)

However, it's very easy to catch up to the frontier of technology.

The Rest Is Politics: Leading
188. Will AI Give China or the US Total Power? (William MacAskill)

There's various techniques you can use.

The Rest Is Politics: Leading
188. Will AI Give China or the US Total Power? (William MacAskill)

So it's only a nine-month gap.

The Rest Is Politics: Leading
188. Will AI Give China or the US Total Power? (William MacAskill)

Yeah.

The Rest Is Politics: Leading
188. Will AI Give China or the US Total Power? (William MacAskill)

And is this political leaders in the US or UK?