Sally Auld
speaker
5,823 appearances
57 recordings
1 series
first heard Sep 2024
last heard 17 Aug
Sally Auld’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 28 in all, peaking in Aug 2026 with 3.
Appearances
Um so trading not that far below 72 cents, um, and I guess you know, consistent with um you know that that characteristic of the
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Aussie, which is that when you know investors are feeling positive about the outlook and positive about risk assets, uh Aussie dollar tends to perform pretty well.
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And of course, you know, maybe also reflecting Australia is uh a net energy exporter, so in aggregate over time should probably do okay.
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And you know, we do have a market uh you know where the vast majority of economists, including ourselves, are are looking for the RBA.
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To still hike uh in a couple of weeks.
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Key
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Yeah, probably a bit too early to to see an impact of uh the the conflict in the Middle East.
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So we're just looking for uh the unemployment rate to be unchanged at four point three percent uh in in March.
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And so if we get that it's just sort of more of the same really on the unemployment rate.
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Like it's basically traded between, I think, four point one and four point three
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uh for the last six months or so.
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Uh and we're looking for a twenty five thousand jobs increase, which is a little bit bigger than the consensus, which I think is at about twenty.
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So we'll we'll see what we get.
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I mean this is this is pretty important uh in the sense that
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Uh, you know, for for a central bank like the RBA with a dual mandate, like it's a bit tricky at the moment because uh, you know, they're clearly moving further away on their inflation mandate as inflation will go up more than they thought thanks to the conflict.
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But there's also the story around, you know, softer growth and a higher unemployment rate and you know at at at some point they're gonna have to pick which one of those things worries them more.
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Um and so
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You know, if you do get another month where the unemployment rate holds in the low fours, um, I think that maybe at the margin sort of tilts the the RBA to sort of focus a bit more on the inflationary consequences in the near term.
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A bit stronger than expected.
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Um, I think helped by a pretty solid result from Ireland.
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Showing 1421–1440 of 5,823 · page 72 of 292
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