Sally Auld
speaker
5,823 appearances
57 recordings
1 series
first heard Sep 2024
last heard 17 Aug
Sally Auld’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 28 in all, peaking in Aug 2026 with 3.
Appearances
And, you know, even in our own forecast, you know, we've
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As we put out on Friday, you know, we've really nudged up our headline inflation forecast.
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Uh but we've also added to our core inflation forecast over the next couple of quarters because we just feel like there's uh enough going on that we will see uh second order impacts from from the war.
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So I think uh you know this is fueling the anxiety of central banks that actually this inflationary issue is is the right one to be focusing on near term.
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Mm.
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So this is uh I guess we are now in that period where we will start to get some data that actually reflect uh, you know, what businesses and households uh are feeling and thinking, uh now that we're almost um four weeks into this conflict and so you're right.
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European consumer confidence down to its lowest level since October of 2023.
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So I can't imagine it's going to be, you know, the last piece of data that that tells us that households are quite um fretful about everything that's uh everything that's going on.
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Um and so it will be interesting over the next twenty four hours when we get a whole lot of PMI data.
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Um that'll be the first read on how businesses, you know, across a number of really important
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important geographies are are faring and and thinking uh in the wake of, you know, three or four weeks of conflict in the Middle East and materially higher oil and gas prices.
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Yeah, that's right.
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And I think that'll be that'll be interesting, you know, 'cause in in our minds we've got this sense that and and for and for the right reasons that, you know, Europe is, you know, far more uh exposed, I guess, to energy shocks of of these na of this nature.
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And as you said, the UK uh sorry, the US is uh, you know, relatively insulated because they are a net energy exporter, et cetera, et cetera.
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Um so I guess we'll we'll get, you know, the first glimpse at, you know, whether that's
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um being reflected in some of the manufacturing and and services PMI indicators.
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Yeah, that's right.
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So one and a half percent is the expected number for national headline inflation for the month of February.
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So um, like you said, a sort of reasonably benign outcome.
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Um running a little bit hotter if you take out the impact of fresh food and and energy.
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Showing 1521–1540 of 5,823 · page 77 of 292
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