Sam Winter-Levy

speaker

361 appearances 1 recordings 1 series first heard Mar 2026 last heard 10 Mar

Sam Winter-Levy’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

Trend

recordings per month · last 12 months

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Mar 2026 with 1.

Appearances

newest first · ▶ plays the moment

80,000 Hours Podcast · #238 – Sam Winter-Levy and Nikita Lalwani on how AGI won't end mutually assured destruction (probably) · 10 Mar 2026 podcast

So they can use uncrewed undersea vehicles released from submarines near important ports.

So Russia is already developing exactly this type of kind of exotic means of nuclear delivery.

They have this nuclear-powered autonomous torpedo called Poseidon capable of traveling supposedly thousands of miles.

And states could also try and kind of smuggle or pre-position small nuclear devices in enemy territory along the lines of the sort of recent Ukrainian attack on Russian airfields, where they kind of smuggled in weapons deep into Russian territory.

So even with perfect missile defense, states may still have options to kind of, to deliver nuclear weapons if they really want to.

I think AI might make it easier to track some of the kind of mobile command posts on land.

It might make it easier to more precisely target airborne command posts.

Maybe AI-enhanced anti-satellite weapons could make it easier to target satellites that provide early warning of incoming nuclear attacks.

But other aspects of SAIT's nuclear command and control systems are pretty...

immune to or are pretty robust against AI developments in particular.

For instance, bunkers that are 700 metres underground.

Tracking them is not the problem.

The problem is that even if you drop a nuclear bomb right on top of them, they're likely to survive.

So that part of it seems less vulnerable to AI breakthroughs.

I'd say the kind of biggest area of uncertainty and the most plausible pathway through which AI could have an impact here is the cyber domain.

So you could envisage sophisticated cyber operations just supercharged by AI that might allow states to penetrate the rival's command and control networks, disable early warning systems, disrupt the transmission of orders.

You know, huge uncertainty here about assessing this, but potentially there are vulnerabilities that could allow one state to penetrate another's nuclear networks, and those potentially already exist.

Yeah, so I think there's definitely going to be redundancy.

I mean, maybe one way you could think about cyber here is that

it potentially buys time in coordination with everything else you have to do.

Showing 181–200 of 361 · page 10 of 19