Sam Winter-Levy
speaker
361 appearances
1 recordings
1 series
first heard Mar 2026
last heard 10 Mar
Sam Winter-Levy’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Mar 2026 with 1.
Appearances
The other way of thinking about this is just what are the methods that AI could use that are kind of most continuous with what states kind of currently do and that just seem most plausible?
And there, the story would go something like you can use machine learning to just integrate data from thousands of sensors, filtering out noise, identifying these faint signatures that humans would miss.
In particular, you can use AI to just fuse noisy data from multiple different sensors, including sonar, but also what are called magnetic anomaly detectors.
So subs have steel hulls, which means they disturb local magnetic fields, which you might be able to pick up.
And then also satellite-based synthetic aperture radar, which might be able to identify very small wake patterns generated on the ocean's surface by passing submarines.
So you can fuse all of that data.
Maybe you could also use autonomous underwater vehicles that can patrol continuously, coordinate with satellites, and build a persistent ocean-wide surveillance net.
And if you combine all of that data with signals intercepts and human intelligence and all these other sources of data that states have, maybe you could use AI systems to kind of track submarines more effectively.
And you might also be able to use AI systems to hack into the systems that states themselves use to track and communicate with their own submarines.
So I think that's the version of the story that will be, that's kind of one plausible version of the story for how states could use AI to track nuclear submarines.
Yeah, so I think first...
You know, it sounds easier when you say, like, oh, just integrate all these different data from different sensors, but this is just an extremely hard technical problem.
And there are probably limits to what these improvements can yield.
Again, should bracket that there is a lot of uncertainty in every part of this.
Like, we're talking about future technological developments.
There's uncertainty about what the state's current capabilities are.
There's uncertainty about the nature of the technology.
So huge bracket for just big uncertainty here.
But that said, this is just a really, really hard technical problem.
The physics of the undersea domain are brutal.
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