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Sarah Paine

πŸ‘€ Speaker
8740 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So I can't totally answer the question because there are a lot of Russians and a lot of Chinese whose decisions together aggregate to what they do.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So, yeah, tell me about how... Well, his version of communism is Russians invented it, or actually they didn't, Marx invented it, but they're the guys who think, well, we operationalize it, so we should run it forever.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So, of course, it's going to be, Russia is going to be the big communist country.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So, and a bunch of Chinese upstarts, from their point of view, are claiming, no, no, no, we're going to run the show forever.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Unclear, because in his lifetime, right, because it's a long horizon, in his lifetime, he's about initially communism in one country, right?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And then communism on your borders, which is what he's working on.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

As for the rest of the world, it takes Brezhnev to start going all deep into Africa.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Stalin wasn't interested in, say, India because he thought they're a bunch of lackeys of the British, right?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

How do they let themselves be colonized by the British?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

There's something wrong with them.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So you have to also think about where history is at a given moment.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So he dies in 53.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

It's not that long after World War II of how it's all going to turn out.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And his relationship with China, as far as he's concerned, is going swimmingly when he's in power.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Mao goes there and basically kowtows in Moscow and does what Stalin wants him to do.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

That's Stalin's experience until he, I don't know, chokes on his Cheerios or whatever happened to him that morning.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

I think grievances would still exist.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

I think Stalin's death, dictator's death profoundly weakened their systems because they've got no good succession.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So it means you're guaranteed a cat fight royale going on.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine – How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And so, I mean, that's what year one waits for, for when Putin, eventually the man will die one way or another, and there will be a cat fight royale for what happens to him.