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Sarah Paine

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
8864 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

with a leadership that has not been chastened by surviving World War I, the Great Depression, and World War II, which are the grown-ups who did a very effective job dealing with the early First Cold War.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

We haven't got those people anymore.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So if you look at primary adversaries, primary theaters, you don't want them to align for your enemies, because if they do, they'll coordinate.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Currently, Vlad the Bad has a Ukraine fixation.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Xi Jinping has got a Taiwan fixation opposite ends of Eurasia.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Xi Jinping is also causing India problems and doing South China Sea island battles.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

uh, building, but they're, they're an opposite ends of their two empires.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So far, so far, nothing aligns with these two.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And even in a world war, it's the, their primary theaters probably would not align the same way that the axis primary theaters did not align.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And they might well disperse their resources in different directions.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

But the problem was we have a lot of people with nuclear weapons.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Now you really don't want to do the hot war.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So if, um,

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

The West and others manage things correctly.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

I've given you a huge historical legacy of fraught relations.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Play your cards appropriately, and these two will take care of each other.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And the rest of us can, if we do it right, don't.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

launch trade wars on each other, but rather try to maximize our prosperity so that we get stronger and stronger while they're busy in these wealth-destroying wars.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And Putin is just blowing through all of his assets in Ukraine to no purpose.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

That's how we fought and won the last Cold War.