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Sarah Paine

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
8864 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Putin, he's trying to do empire in the age of nationalism.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Well, it's a non-starter.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And he's dumping all of his ordinance on Ukraine, leaving Siberia wide open.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And Xi Jinping has moved right in, even before the Ukraine war.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

That's this Belt Road Initiative is peeling away the former Russian sphere of influence in Central Asia.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And Putin is doing this hot war gambit when Russia's weak and China is strong, making it particularly damaging.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And you go, well, why would it matter?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Well, Russia has precisely, Siberia has precisely the resources that China now needs and covets and wants to have them contiguous so other people can't mess with them.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And in particularly, they want water because they've blown through their water table in North China.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Lake Baikal has over 20% of the world's surface freshwater.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So if you want a quick fix, it's the best one.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And China is known for big water projects.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

They've

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

been damming the Mekong and the Yangtze.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

They've done massive water projects.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

So that may be in Russia's future.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Who knows?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

And Xi Jinping now holds all of the cards.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

China has nine times the population, nine times the GMP of Russia, and their per capita GMPs are converging.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Sarah Paine โ€“ How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Not good news for Putin.