Sarah Wilson

The only framework that is going to be able to work for what's coming at us is community.

And countless studies are showing that that is the only way forward.

Well, I don't think anyone knows.

And uncertainty is the main feature of what we're confronting.

That is actually where most people's fear lies, is that we don't know.

However, having said that, there is considerable modelling being done in various realms.

So population collapse is one space where we get a bit of a picture of how things are going to go.

So according to

to multiple think tanks and institutes have been tracking this for many years.

We will reach peak population of about 9 to 10 billion sometime between 2040 and 2060.

So the global replacement figure at the moment, it's 2.1 babies per woman.

That's what's required to maintain the population.

It's about to dip under.

Three quarters of the world is well below that.

Here in Australia, we're at 1.6.

In parts of Asia, it's at 0.7, 0.8.

And we will decline back down the other side of that hockey stick graph, that's a bell curve, if you like, eventually reaching a bottomed out population of about one to four billion within a couple of hundred years.

That is quite stunning stuff.

Now, climate activists out there might be thinking, well, this is great news because less people, less resources, what a fix, how beautiful.

The impact of all of that will come too late to be able to assist us in that climate catastrophe situation.