Simon Rosenberg
speaker
360 appearances
2 recordings
1 series
first heard Oct 2024
last heard Oct 2024
Simon Rosenberg’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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Um, she's ahead the the polls that are showing her ahead three, four, five points are more often than not likely voter polls.
And so we're starting to see what we saw in twenty twenty two, Ben, when I used to come on here, is we're doing slightly better with the voters who are more likely to vote in the election.
Which is what you want, right?
That's better than being ahead with registered voters because the likely universe is more likely to approximate the universe that actually votes.
Because about twenty percent of registered voters don't vote.
in these elections.
And trying to figure out which one those are is sort of the secret sauce of polling.
But in but to summarize, right?
I would much rather be us than them with three weeks to go.
Yeah, I mean the early vote, it's interesting.
The early vote in this election's gonna look a lot like twenty twenty four and not twenty twenty or twenty twenty two.
It's like every election, it's got its own unique kind of and I um sort of manifestations.
And I've been a little bit slow to analyze it because
It's first of all, it's still very early.
And also it there are certain things that are going as we want.
There are other things that are, you know, we have to pay attention to.
But what's most important is this, is that from the votes that are coming nationally.
We are still running ahead of twenty twenty at this point.
Uh and then we won in twenty twenty.
Showing 181–200 of 360 · page 10 of 18
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