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Tamay Besiroglu

๐Ÿ‘ค Person
878 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

You're just learning to play it from scratch.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

And I think at the time, it did impress a lot of people.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

But then people try to apply it to math, they try to apply it to other domains, and it didn't work very well.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

They weren't able to get competent agents at math.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

So it's very possible that these models, at least the way we have them right now, you're going to try to do the same thing people did for reasoning, but for agency, it's not going to work very well, and then you're not going to make it.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

Sure, but like they are not like they are not disconnected.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

tasks.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

That's like saying everything you do in the world is just like you just move parts of your body, and then you move your mouth and your tongue, and then you roll your head.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

But that's a very, yeah, individually those things are simple.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

Yeah, I mean, I would say that reasoning did seem... I mean, I think there's a reason to expect complex reasoning to not be as difficult as people might have thought, even in advance, because a lot of the tasks that AI solved very early on were tasks of...

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

Various kinds of complex reasoning.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

So it wasn't the kind of reasoning that goes into when a human solves a math problem.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

But if you look at the major AI milestones since 1950, a lot of them are for complex reasoning.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

Like a chess is, you can say, a complex reasoning task.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

Go is, you could say, a complex reasoning task.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

So the problem in that case is that it's a very specific, narrow environment.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

You can say that playing Go or playing chess, that also requires a certain amount of agency, and that's

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

That's true, but it's a very narrow task.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

So that's like saying if you construct a software system that is able to react to very specific, very particular kind of images, or very specific video feeds or whatever, then you're getting close to general sensory motor skill automation.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

But the general skill is something that's very different, and I think we're seeing that.