Taylor Nugent
speaker
7,962 appearances
80 recordings
1 series
first heard Sep 2024
last heard 27 Aug
Taylor Nugent’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 36 in all, peaking in Nov 2025 with 5.
Appearances
Um on that that front as well, in terms of expectations of kind of how quickly uh supply could resume.
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Obviously, there's still plenty of un uncertainty around this, but there are some some different comments worth calling out.
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There's some reporting that um one US official expects a a normalization within
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30 days and that there there should be as many as kind of 40 to 50 transits um just on that route that hugs the the Amani coast by by Friday.
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Um the context there is kind of ordinary pre-conflict flows to the Strait of Hamoons are about 135.
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So you know still uh meaningfully below, but you know, that 30-day timeline is you know pretty pretty optimistic.
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Um we'll we'll see how how that flows.
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And we did see some comments from uh some.
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some you know some shipping officials as as well and and you know heads of um CEOs of of shipping companies just saying that you know there is still some some caution there.
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Um one in particular with calling out is just kind of you know given the the experience of the last couple of months, um I think it's reasonable uh to assume it may take uh at least a couple of weeks, if not a month, and they would be you know fairly cautious um in in kind of you know following through and and some
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sailing ships through until there is more clarity.
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Um and, you know, also worth noting, you know, there's a timeline there that extends in in terms of, you know, weeks, maybe maybe a month, but there are still some other barriers.
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And there was another US official that warned that, you know, there's still the, you know, um little problem that there are some mines that that need to be removed as as well.
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Yeah, so I think when you look at at the RBA, it was a unanimous decision to to leave rates on on hold.
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That was, you know, that was universally e expected.
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Um, I think when you look at the the characterization in the post meeting statement and in in Bullock's press conference as well, was reasonably measured in terms of their interpretation of of the recent data flow.
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They were talking about growth that had had slowed but was slowing kind of broadly as expected.
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And they were, you know, again
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kind of very careful to to note that that slower uh growth that is you know seems to be evident in in the data so far and is expected to continue is very much necessary given the the starting point of of capacity pressures and and elevated inflation.
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They're also you know looked with pretty appropriate skepticism you could say at the the jump in in unemployment in April, they weren't um seeing that as as signal of kind of you know massive imminent downside risk to the labour market.
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