Taylor Nugent

speaker
7,962 appearances 80 recordings 1 series first heard Sep 2024 last heard 27 Aug

Taylor Nugent’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months
5 · Nov OctJan 26AprJulnow

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 36 in all, peaking in Nov 2025 with 5.

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with kind of retail fuel prices, including because of the cut to to the excise uh tax um noticeably lower through through much of April than they were in March. matched
And so that supported a bit of a f fallback in in fuel spending. matched
But beyond that, um there's also a dynamic that we saw of some put you know potential stockpiling or pull forward in in food demand, which supported March, which which unwound um in in April and dragged down that number. matched
Beyond that, you know, matched
The other key theme beyond fuel and food is what's happening in in travel. matched
And as you say, that is kind of driving some some noticeable weakness. matched
That was quite a drag in in the month. matched
We're a little cautious about what the implications of that are in terms as an indicator of kind of a broader uh discretionary demand story for households, though. matched
And the reason for that is uh um refunds in in air travel in particular are are still fairly elevated. matched
relative to history. matched
And so it could be that those disruptions to to travel plans um from the from the start of of this shock are still playing out in that data a little bit. matched
And I think when you look beyond travel, what we're seeing is a story that is kind of consistent with some slowing, but certainly resilience um in discretionary consumption. matched
And so when you look at things like, you know, restaurant meals, for instance, that was that was okay in in in the month of April. matched
And you know, we're not we're not seeing as noticeable matched
pullback across the broader discretionary complex as that kind of travel indicator in p um alone suggests. matched
Uh so there, the the budget um reply speech from from the opposition later, the kind of you know, we saw saw that last night and the the key thing there was a a proposal to to index those tax brackets to it to inflation to to protect against bracket creep. matched
Um and then you know there was also you know some other policies, higher higher defense spending, some and link of of migration to to housing supply, um, you know, opposing those some of those tax reforms. matched
that were that were um in the budget uh this year um and also kind of a a higher um threshold for the the instant asset asset write off but kind of the you know the major uh you know tax policy announcement from from the opposition um in in their reply was was that kind of indexation of of tax brackets. matched
Yeah, though that's right. matched
So we did have the that Q one GDP data just to to round that out. matched
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