Taylor Nugent
speaker
7,962 appearances
80 recordings
1 series
first heard Sep 2024
last heard 27 Aug
Taylor Nugent’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 36 in all, peaking in Nov 2025 with 5.
Appearances
But yeah, as you say, ADP data today all ahead of uh all ahead of payrolls, the the big one later this week.
voice-verified
Right.
voice-verified
Certainly markets seem to be looking through the the near-term disruption towards the the prospect of some kind of resolution that that eases those those physical constraints on on oil.
voice-verified
And then you know, m the market optimism that you you mentioned there, continued risk on tone seems to be uh reflecting that in terms of kind of you know the detail of what what they might be responding to.
voice-verified
So there's certainly reports that the US and Iran are looking to arrange a a second round of peace talks.
voice-verified
Talks in the coming days.
voice-verified
And so the idea there would be to have another round of talks before the end of that that current ceasefire.
voice-verified
And you know, feeding into that positive uh sentiment as well was um you know suggestions that Iran uh may be holding off sending ships through the strait in the short term, so effectively trying to avoid any any kind of test of of the US blockade to maybe you know try and
voice-verified
Yeah, that's that's right.
voice-verified
So, you know, the that business survey for March, you know, the first uh one to have kind of a you know a clear post conflict read if you like.
voice-verified
And so we did see, you know, a pretty immediate reaction there.
voice-verified
Um confidence fell twenty nine index points to to minus twenty-nine.
voice-verified
Um, you know, that's uh historically large fall, you know, outpaced by March twenty twenty in in COVID.
voice-verified
But but other than that, it's about as as bad as it's it's
voice-verified
Ever been in the history of the survey in terms of a single month move.
voice-verified
And, you know, but as you point out, we did see that conditions uh you know really held in down um down one index point to six index points in in March.
voice-verified
So I think what that says is, you know, while that confidence hit is very material, perhaps not unsurprisingly given the the magnitude of the shock, it does suggest that the economy was, you know, carrying a pretty healthy level of motivation.
voice-verified
Momentum into the shock.
voice-verified
Um and so now I think, you know, there's some interesting details certainly on the on the prices side that that speak to the you know the propagation of the the cost shock through through the economy.
voice-verified
But you know, now the question is really about does that does that massive fall in confidence sustain and does that flow through into kind of deterioration in current conditions?
voice-verified
Showing 1321–1340 of 7,962 · page 67 of 399
← Previous
Next →