Taylor Nugent
speaker
7,962 appearances
80 recordings
1 series
first heard Sep 2024
last heard 27 Aug
Taylor Nugent’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 36 in all, peaking in Nov 2025 with 5.
Appearances
So I think for the RBA, you know, the starting point here, nothing about the data flow of the past couple of weeks, whether it was the unemployment um data recently or or the inflation data overnight, is adding further to their concerns that kind of the starting point was even more inflationary or even more capacity constrained than they thought back in February.
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Although it certainly is isn't changing the story that it is capacity constrained and inflation pressures were too strong.
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In terms of the data.
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Sal, as you say there, there was some, you know, m some good good news at at the margin out of the February numbers.
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You know, that um trim mean number, that headline number, both a tenth below our expectations and and consensus as as well.
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And so that's certainly not, you know, that's it's not adding fuel to the fire, if you like, but um, you know, it does it is ahead of what will be a a big surge in headline inflation in March.
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Fuel prices will go up about thirty percent.
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That headline number will probably move.
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move up towards four and a half percent or or a little bit higher.
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Um and then, you know, what will be interesting is how uh how forcefully kind of, you know, initial second round impacts that pass through of what our very broad base cost pressures that we're that we're seeing flowing through to businesses flow through.
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Right.
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Yeah, that's I mean, that's right.
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And that's the balance that central banks everywhere are are trying to navigate at the moment.
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You've got, you know, very obvious near-term in inflation pressure.
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The question is how persistent it will be.
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And you know, the part of the answer to how persistent it will be is how much demand destruction do you get and how does it interact with um capacity pressures?
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Lagarde was speaking overnight, and I think she framed it up reasonably well.
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You know, we often think about oh, it's a supply-driven uh shock, central bank.
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Bank should should look through it.
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But you know, Lagarde kind of split this into three potential scenarios.
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