Tim Lawless
speaker
584 appearances
2 recordings
2 series
first heard Jun 2026
last heard 8 Jul
Tim Lawless’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 2 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 1.
Appearances
What do you mean?
Yeah.
Okay.
So in most of the capital cities, you're established markets where there's not a lot of land to be built, for example.
So the real scarce supply levels.
So that tends to be within 10 kilometers of the CBD or the major capitals.
Absolutely.
Because that's generally where capital gains have been the strongest.
Right.
So you'll find those investors are going to be holding on for longer, which in itself implies those inner city and sort of middle ring property markets are probably going to be the ones that suffer the most from a lack of rental supply as well.
If you don't see a refreshment or an inflow of new investment or new rental properties becoming available...
Because you can't get the negative gearing benefits, most investors who are going to be active in property will probably be going out of fringe or inner city where new housing supply gets those tax benefits.
So we might be creating a market here where rental markets remain extremely tight in those more desirable inner city and established suburbs.
Whereas you're out of fringes, might have higher investor concentrations delivering more rental supply, but also competing with the markets that the government's trying to insulate here, first home buyers.
So if we see more competitive friction between investors and first home buyers in greenfield housing estates, so new homes.
Where all the new houses are being built on the outer fringes of capital city or in the inner city apartment markets, that kind of flies in the face of giving first home buyers a leg up anyway, because you might just be concentrating investor demands into those markets.
There isn't any data on this yet.
Right.
So where would he have got that bit of information?
You'll have to ask the prime minister, Mark.
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