Tim Lawless

speaker

584 appearances 2 recordings 2 series first heard Jun 2026 last heard 8 Jul

Tim Lawless’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 2 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 1.

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FEAR & GREED | Business News · Q+A: Has Australia’s housing downturn finally arrived? · 1 Jun 2026 podcast

Sydney, of course, extremely unaffordable.

You've got a median value in Sydney that's up around the $1.3 million mark.

and the highest dwelling value to income ratio.

So I think a big part of Sydney is just that affordability challenge with the macro overlay, whereas Melbourne's just been really fragile.

It's been a long-term underperformer.

The past five years, we've seen Melbourne housing values are up 3.3% in five years in total.

It's just a market that doesn't have the same underlying fundamentals.

Probably not so coincidentally, these are also the two capitals where advertised stock levels are above average.

Buyers have plenty of choice.

There's no urgency.

If you don't get the home you're interested in, you move on to the next one and you just bargain all the harder.

So, yeah, I think there's very different factors.

Those mid-sized capitals, definitely stock levels are rising, but they're still below average and rising from very low levels.

Well, yeah, I think that there's more to come and probably worse to come.

So the market's not going to suddenly see a lifeline like we saw through the pandemic.

We're not about to see a monetary policy or a fiscal policy response here.

So I think the market's going to be left to its own and we should expect there's going to be further weakness in housing values and probably gathering some momentum from here.

The mid-sized capitals are clearly slowing down.

I don't think those markets are completely immune from a downturn.

And as we see stock levels rising further, we'll probably start to see the potential for a flattening or even some downwards movements in really strong growth markets like Brisbane, Perth, and Adelaide.

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