Tim Lawless

speaker

584 appearances 2 recordings 2 series first heard Jun 2026 last heard 8 Jul

Tim Lawless’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 2 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 1.

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FEAR & GREED | Business News · Q+A: Has Australia’s housing downturn finally arrived? · 1 Jun 2026 podcast

Perth is a really good example where values are rising a bit more than 3% in November.

Now they're rising at 1.5% month on month.

As you say, Sydney and Melbourne are going backwards.

And that's been the case for...

Pretty much the past six months, those markets have been in reverse.

But it's fair to say that the May numbers really did take a step down, with Sydney down 0.9%.

Yeah.

I mean, this is a bit of a perfect storm.

And I think it's fair to say at the end of last year, the market was peaking because of cyclical factors like affordability and serviceability were stretched.

severely stretched in some markets.

But then since then, we started to see things like 75 basis points of rate hikes, a global oil crisis.

We saw consumer sentiment just completely fall off a cliff in April and holding at very low levels.

And now we've seen the budget handed down, which adds further downside risk to the housing market.

So most downturns in Australia, you could pretty much point at one thing.

It's rising interest rates, or it's credit tightening, or it's a global shock.

That's not the case this time around.

And there's this multitude of factors creating a lot of demand side headwinds.

Yeah, it's interesting.

And I think that there are different reasons in Sydney and Melbourne.

I think both are being impacted by the macro factors we talked about, like higher interest rates and lower sentiment.

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