Tom Bevan

speaker

289 appearances 1 recordings 1 series first heard Jul 2026 last heard 16 Jul

Tom Bevan’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 1.

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After Party with Emily Jashinsky · The "Super Sus" Pratt Loss, Jack Smith’s BIG Problem, and the Biden Grift, with Tom Bevan · 16 Jul 2026 podcast

And I think Pete Buttigieg third.

And then you've got AOC down in single digits.

But if you if you go and look at the betting markets, Kamala Harris is like seven percent.

I mean, she's way down there and just flatlining.

you've got and you've got gavin newsom is ahead but was falling the last time i looked which was a couple of days ago and you've got folks like john ossoff which there's this little boomlet for for john ossoff and aoc are both you know i think aoc is second she's at like 19 so i i think there so there's a complete inversion of the polling versus the betting markets on the democratic side on the republican side it's

I think it just shows that that race is pretty stable.

And I think it's fairly well locked in that Vance is the favorite there.

Now, I mean, obviously, we're a long way away and things could change.

But on the Democratic side, I think what that inversion shows is just how wide open that race is and how none of these candidates have really laid a claim to being the leader of the party.

And I expect that to be a complete and total free for all.

Yeah, and look, we've followed this for a long time, and we've seen how California, whether it's this race or other races, every election cycle, midterm, presidential, where California takes days and weeks to count these votes, and invariably there have been races where candidates, Republican candidates, have been overtaken by the mail-in ballots.

But we've never seen it happen because this race was so nationalized and there was a lot of attention on it.

And Spencer Pratt had generated a lot of sort of media heat around it.

And we'd never seen it to this degree, to this level where a third place candidate who was who was behind

by, I forget what her initial, she was down by 10 points or something like that when the first balloting, you know, the election day balloting took place, was able to, as Joe and JD were just talking about, you know, suddenly she's getting these disproportionate, huge dumps, ballot dumps.

And again, it's, she didn't,

She was in tears on election night.

She had no idea this was happening or this was coming.

I mean, usually if you had a really good get out the vote operation, ballot harvesting operation, you'd be like, okay, well, look, this is not the end of the story.

Let's wait for some of these ballots to come in.

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