Tom Bilyeu

This is how

Afghanistan has been able to quote unquote bankrupt empires time after time is it's a bunch of guys armed in caves.

And so you try to go deal with that and each one just does their own thing.

And so the US has spent the last 20 years dealing with this exact problem.

So there's no way that they didn't consider it.

What will be interesting to watch play out is whether Trump had any sense of what does this look like as we try to exit?

Because he mapped out what would happen in Venezuela so well, there's no way he didn't come out of that a little bit cocky.

And so my concern isn't that he didn't see these things coming as possibilities, meaning somebody didn't put a brief on his desk that said, listen, this guy has broken the IRGC up into 31 provinces.

I don't think this is, it might be news for us as the average people in the media, but it's not for classified information.

No way.

Like they're going to know about this stuff.

If they're able to strike you in your bedroom, you know,

almost no matter where you are what you're trying to do they know the second these guys get grouped up together and they're taking them out with precision munitions the intelligence has been validated over and over and over and over and over so uh this it's not that it's a surprise it's just as you build a mental map of what you're coming into

To be a person like Donald Trump, you have to believe in yourself well past the realm of reason.

And so this is how these guys always end up getting tripped up.

Now, I don't know that Trump is tripped up.

He may this may be a part of his strategy, but it's all too easy to see how.

the punchline here may be that he ends up tripping himself up by believing he's going to go in with overwhelming might, that these guys are going to back down.

They were even signaling this during the negotiations.

They were saying that, you know, I'm surprised they haven't capitulated.