Tom Bilyeu
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I think it was Steve Witkoff that said that.
So he's the guy in the room and
Trump said to him, I'm surprised these guys haven't capitulated.
We've put so much military hardware off their coast and they're still moving forward, which should have been his first clue that these guys are approaching this in a very different way.
And so I worry that Trump is basically
projecting how he would act in the same situation.
And it isn't how they're going to act.
And I talked about this before.
I think the Iranians really see this as existential.
If there is the kind of uprising that I believe there was in very recent days, then they know that they're teetering on a knife's edge of being able to stay in power.
This is one of the reasons that they're so absolutely gung-ho to get a nuclear weapon is
It's the only way for them to be the big dog in that region to back everybody down, to become like North Korea, where once you have a nuclear weapon, then you know the U.S.
isn't going to fuck with you because the damage that you can inflict is so great that people back off.
That's what history tells us, is people leave nuclear powers alone.
And so I don't think that...
you should project a mental map onto them that these are going to be people that negotiate in the same way that you do, that want a negotiated settlement, that they want to be quote unquote reasonable.
Ultimately, they have an agenda they're going to pursue because they know if they lose, they're going to be not only out of power,
but out of power could mean dead.
As we've seen so many repressive regimes either have to flee the country or they get assassinated.
So I think that's the calculus that they're running in the back of their minds.