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Tom Schmidt

👤 Speaker
291 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

Ended up being obviously very oversubbed and then, you know, totally, totally popping after the IPO.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

So I don't know where it's going to go from here, but I certainly think, you know, Elon is not one to doubt.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

I think there's a lot of, yeah, like path dependency to it, right?

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

Like the way in which you raise the capital and, you know, I think of almost some of these other, you know, businesses as almost like kind of filling in the gaps in like a jar of nuts of like, oh yeah, you can't just rely on this very chunky sort of not as immediately repeatable or sexy like government contracts to do these space launches.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

We also have all these little things kind of sprinkled in that allow you to sort of get there long term in addition to obviously, you know, the Elon aura.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

I think there's also an incredible vindication for pre-IPO perps and on-chain perps.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

I don't know if you talked about this on the last show, but I think TradeXYZ, which is the RWA platform on hyperliquid HIP3 markets,

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

They priced the IPO pretty much perfectly.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

They priced it like 160 and it got there at the end of the trading day.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

And even today, they're still doing hundreds of millions of volume on SpaceX.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

And so, you know, we saw a little bit of this with the Cerberus IPO a couple of weeks ago, but it just feels like this is something that we're going to see continuing for OpenAI and Anthropic and every new, you know, hot IPO that's coming out this year and coming years.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

Yeah, totally agree.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

I mean, in some ways, it reminds me of kind of the 24 election and poly market.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

And hey, you have this, you know, third market that you're probably not paying attention to, but it's providing way more signal, way more insight and way more accurate information than you're getting through kind of your conventional signals.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

And that ultimately ends up being the way the market goes.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

Yeah, I think as always, it's like it takes one person to kind of break up in a category and then you have...

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

many fast followers i think some of them definitely have um you know a right to be there and they take an original idea and twist a little bit or serve a unique audience or um you know have some interesting distribution story um some of them i will say also as a vc uh do not and you as soon as you know um some new categories been out for a year you get like a million new copycat kind of pitches um it is interesting to see i would say like the next evolution of a lot of these um you know

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

pretty OG DeFi protocols that have maybe hit the ceiling of what their original market looks like.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

And so if you're Jito, okay, great.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Saylor Risk? | Warsh’s New Fed | SpaceX IPO | Coinbase’s Everything Exchange

You have this great product on Solana, works super well.