Tom Slater
speaker
895 appearances
4 recordings
1 series
first heard Aug 2026
last heard 2d ago
Tom Slater’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 4 in all, peaking in Sep 2026 with 3.
Appearances
Um this is really fascinating.
I think it's been clear for some time that we were he we were potentially heading towards a hung parliament, but there's a few things that we always need to take into account in the new political era that we find ourselves in.
One of which is that volatility in political preference is a higher scale than we've seen for about 100 years.
So the willingness of people to switch parties, to shop around.
To tactically vote, which is something which is increasingly going to come to the detriment of reform, it seems like, is is higher than we've previously come to expect it.
Plus, we're in this very strange situation where we have multi-party, almost European-style politics, but within a two-party first-past-the-poe system.
And what that means is that making predictions and even really doing MRP polls is a bit of a mugs game.
Because in the run-up to an election, small percentage change.
Changes in voting intention could have vastly different effects across the country.
Uh the willingness again to vote tactically could have vastly different effects to the detriment of one party and to the benefit of another.
So without wanting to just dismiss any of this, 'cause obviously I think it is an indication of certainly where Labour are now relative to a year ago and where reform are now relative to a year ago, it's hard to make kind of hard and fast predictions off of it.
One thing that is absolutely
Clear is that Keir Starmer was a gift to reform that maybe they didn't fully appreciate at the time, as well as to the Green Party.
It was a bit of a sort of truism about a year or so ago, but I think it more or less held, which is that if the next election was whether or not you wanted Keir Starmer to be Prime Minister, reform could quite definitively win that.
But whether or not the next election was one about do you want Nigel Farros to be Prime Minister by dint of the fact that he does remain a quite polarising figure in the country, whether that's fair or
unfair, that could well be reform's uh campaign to lose.
And with the rise of um the an appetite for tactical voting on the left of British politics, meanwhile you have the breakdown of um the right wing votes in British politics between the Conservatives, reform and to a lesser extent restore, that just builds in a kind of advantage to the Labour Party, which is sort of unthinkable.
The only thing I would say, um, I suppose which is slightly in f in um in reform's corner and all of this, is that expectations were risen for them to such a stratiferic level that it was always gonna be difficult for them a stratospheric level, I should say.
It was always gonna be difficult for them to measure up to it.
Even if reform went from
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