Yaroslav Trofimov
speaker
215 appearances
7 recordings
3 series
first heard Dec 2024
last heard 1 Jul
Yaroslav Trofimov’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 5 in all, peaking in May 2026 with 2.
Appearances
Those are not people who were protesting against the war four years ago when the war began.
And that is why actually their words are influential among some parts of the Russian society, because those are the people who want Russia to win in Ukraine.
And they're just saying it can't right now.
The Russian calculation is that as they watch President Trump talking about leaving NATO, they are thinking that if we attack some of these European countries, be it the Baltic states, be it Finland, Sweden, Norway, maybe the U.S.
won't react.
There's been an escalation of threats.
So the Russian Ministry of Defense has listed the addresses of defense companies throughout Europe, from Spain to Germany to the Scandinavian countries, where Ukrainian companies are producing, jointly with local manufacturers, drones and other military equipment.
And it warned that those areas could become legitimate targets for Russian strikes.
That's part and parcel of Russian commitment intimidation, because we have also seen agents of the Russian intelligence have been involved in fire
bombing and attacking defense manufacturers across Europe, there was this case of a Czech defense company that was blown up by Russian agents not so long ago.
And so you already have this activity that is becoming more and more brazen and reckless around Europe.
But now we're also talking about something more.
The Russian calculation is that as they watch the geopolitical environment, as they watch President Trump talking about
leaving NATO, they are thinking that if we attack some of these European countries, be it the Baltic states, be it Finland, Sweden, Norway, maybe the US won't react.
Maybe President Trump will not join the war to defend them.
And if he doesn't, then there will be a strategic victory for Russia because they will have proven that NATO doesn't exist anymore as a cohesive alliance.
Yes, because obviously you also have the energy crisis in Europe, and it has fueled the pro-Russian populist parties that are saying, look, why should we be paying the price?
Let's buy Russian oil and gas on the cheap again and forget about Ukraine.
Now, all of this could be a huge miscalculation because President Putin has miscalculated in the past.
When he invaded Ukraine in 2022, he was expecting its collapse in three days.
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