All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Yen Carry Trade, Recession odds grow, Buffett cash pile, Google ruled monopoly, Kamala picks Walz
Fri, 09 Aug 2024
(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason is back from COVID! (3:55) Yen carry trade unravels, Japan's unique economic issues (27:22) Recession odds growing, is the US already in a "lowkey recession"? (45:46) Why Buffett is selling Apple and massively increasing Berkshire's cash position (55:54) Major antitrust ruling against Google, predicting outcomes (1:22:41) Kamala picks Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.wsj.com/health/wellness/covid-guidelines-2024-cdc-symptoms-contagious-cdefb6b8 https://tradingeconomics.com/japan/interest-rate https://pebblewriter.com/the-yen-carry-trade-explained https://www.statista.com/statistics/604424/median-age-of-the-population-in-japan https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/japans-nov-core-consumer-inflation-hits-fresh-40-year-high-2022-12-22 https://x.com/GoldmanSachs/status/1793998451291615316 https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/boj-wont-raise-rates-when-markets-are-unstable-deputy-gov-says-6f4bf962 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/01/the-us-national-debt-is-rising-by-1-trillion-about-every-100-days.html https://www.wsj.com/finance/the-u-s-government-will-soon-spend-more-on-interest-payments-than-defense-ee6fbeec https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/10/business/archegos-bill-hwang-guilty.html https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-08/jpmorgan-says-three-quarters-of-global-carry-trades-now-unwound https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/02/job-growth-totals-114000-in-july-much-less-than-expected-as-unemployment-rate-rises-to-4point3percent.html https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-this-year https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.DJI:INDEXDJX https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.IXIC:INDEXNASDAQ https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp500-nasdaq-live-08-07-2024/card/airbnb-stock-slides-after-rental-company-warns-of-slowing-u-s-demand-inf2c6emjcl5KI7KmkfR https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ABNB:NASDAQ https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1799085407394845087 https://www.forbes.com/sites/gurufocus/2024/02/15/warren-buffett-bolsters-chevron-stake-revealing-key-q4-moves https://www.google.com/finance/quote/AAPL:NASDAQ https://www.ft.com/content/2aa3b542-d4e4-4afb-8d81-89bb734d7b17 https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/25032786-googleruling https://x.com/Jason/status/1820823406503157764 https://x.com/chamath/status/1817893425137508474 https://www.vox.com/2018/10/31/18039528/tech-employees-politics-liberal-employers-candidates https://www.natesilver.net/p/tim-walz-is-a-minnesota-nice-choice https://x.com/NickFondacaro/status/1820840411335737852 https://x.com/KamalaHQ/status/1820918063966962143 https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/08/06/politics/tim-walz-inside-harris-vp-pick https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/07/us/politics/vance-walz-military-record.html https://x.com/PokerGO/status/1818836856890704291
Full Episode
Sorry, everybody. I wasn't here last week. So what's your bid, J. Cal? Jump into your bid. No, there's no bid. I'm just, you know, triple vaxxed. I took the Paxlovid and I'm back, everybody. I know everybody was very concerned about me. Thank you to everybody. But I can take my mask off, right, Freeberg? Do I need a mask in 2024?
You're good. You're clear.
Okay, so let me take one of these off.
Let me get that off. Okay, good.
It's getting uncomfortable. You're in the clear for one. Okay, you know what? I'll take the third mask off. Totally free. Mask free.
I hope I don't get you guys- The CDC says we can treat COVID like the flu now. I mean- You see that? They finally admitted after two years of shutting down schools, the economy, everything. Like, oh, it's just the flu. We can treat it like the flu.
Yeah. Well, it's interesting. I got the COVID. Just to explain to everybody, I went to Billy Joel's final concert with my daughter. We had a great time. It was his final MSG.
Nick, timestamp the end of it so everybody can just skip to the end of it. Sorry, go ahead, Jason.
There's no bit here. I'm just saying, I'm letting people know that I think I got COVID at the last Billy Joel show. It was a great show. Shout out, Billy Joel. But it was 48 hours. That was very intense. And then I took that Paxlovid and I came right out of it. So apologies to everybody. But man, it was no joke.
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