SHORT: Who gets the last home playoff? | Blues, Crusaders or Brumbies?

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Aotearoa Rugby Pod 14 min 3 speakers 6 chapters transcribed 3 months ago
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What is the current state of the Super Rugby Pacific standings?

Unknown 0:00
Now let's look at this top six in Super Rugged because it's actually shaping up into quite an interesting little setup over the next little while. So we've always got the Hurricanes, Chiefs, Blues, Crusaders, Brumbies, Reds as our six and it's set up that way because the Waratahs, even if they get a bonus point win and the Reds lose without a bonus point, the Waratahs can't get enough wins because it goes wins and then points differential to make it through. So that's why you've got your top six there. But we're left in an interesting position here where a number of these teams are playing each other, particularly the New Zealand teams. And those New Zealand teams could really cause havoc with each other.
Unknown 0:36
The Blues and the Chiefs, that's a challenge for the Blues.

How do the Hurricanes and Chiefs secure their playoff spots?

Unknown 0:41
The Crusaders and the Canes, both of those teams in difficult positions. And it offers Bryn, possibly the Australian teams, a really good chance to actually sneak up the table.
Bryn Hall 0:51
Yeah, it does. Look, I think the top three are going to be sorted. I just think anything below the three is going to be a little bit of movement. I think if the Crusaders win, then I think the Brumbies and the Reds will pretty much stay where they are. They might go fifth or sixth, swapping fifth or sixth. Because at the moment, you've got the Hurricanes 55, Chiefs 46... The Crusaders, the Blues 38, Crusaders 36, and then 33 for the Brummies and 32 for the Reds. So I think there's only going to be a little bit of movement depending if the Crusaders lose, which is a massive possibility depending on the squad that the Hurricanes do pick. But yeah, there is a bit of movement, I guess, with the derbies that are happening in New Zealand.
Bryn Hall 1:25
But yeah, I think the real only movements, I think, Ross, will just be in the kind of 4, 5, 6, because I think the Blues have got enough points. And yeah, the Hurricanes and the Chiefs have been able to get a lot more wins during the year.
Ross Karl 1:38
Yeah, well, one and two stitch that up good and proper now. And the Hurricanes, they'll be thrilled about the fact that as long as they're in, unless, of course, they drop a qualifying final, which would send them down to the bottom of the seedings, which is a change that they've made this year. Remember last year, the Chiefs were beaten, but they didn't lose their place in the seedings. And they've responded to that. And I think fair enough, too. So that's a bit of a wildcard factor.

What challenges do the Blues and Crusaders face in the final round?

Ross Karl 2:03
But As long as they keep winning, they're playing at home, which is a great place to be. Chiefs, likewise, have already nailed a home qualifying final as well against Team 5 or Team 6. No, it'll be probably Team 5, won't it? And it's in between the movement that still there's a potential there that the Blues aren't home and dry in third. They've got to go to Hamilton. And again, you sort of think, well, okay, who's going to pick what? The Blues have sort of looked a bit out of sorts, I think, in recent times. There's just something not quite right there. So they're a bit vulnerable because the Crusaders now got an opportunity to put the blowtorch on. I mean... the way the draws worked out, it means we're not going to know for sure.
Ross Karl 2:53
But the Crusaders, they could get as high as third. They could also get as low as sixth.
Unknown 2:57
Yeah.
Ross Karl 2:58
So there's still a lot to be decided in that last weekend. And I actually think they've done the draw pretty well this year. We had fewer derbies early on. We had more trans-Tasman matches. And they've left some of the juicy games until really the business end of the season. Of course, you've got the Australian teams fighting amongst each other. I've been thinking for quite a while. I think we've got our six. I think we've had our six for a few weeks. It's just we still don't know the order of things. And the Reds have tried to implode on it as best as they can.

What impact does team performance have on playoff positioning?

Ross Karl 3:28
Yeah, yeah, yeah. Poor old Leslie. I mean, they got there in the end, didn't they? But they just went off script and merely blew a gilt-edged opportunity to really move themselves up.
Unknown 3:43
When I think about the Blues and the Chiefs, it's always a close encounter in the most part.

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