The 3 Senate Seats Republicans Can ACTUALLY Flip
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Welcome back. Welcome in everybody. Mark Calpern here. This is Next Up with me, Mark Calpern, Editor in Chief of the Live Interactive Video Platform Two Way, your host here to everything next up. And that means for a lot of us, uh the midterms, closing in on just a little over a month now. Hopefully, uh be able to tell you some stuff today you haven't heard elsewhere about what's going on there. And we've got two great guests to talk about the politics of the moment. Congressman Mike Lawler. Represents a district just outside New York City. He's a Republican, one of the most closely watched races in the country because he's been targeted from the start. But he's got a great chance to win. And we'll talk to him about why he seems to be one of the candidates who may be defying what is currently a strong, seeming Democratic year.
And then Mary Margaret Olahan, she's been here before, great reporter for the Daily Wire who covers the White House. We're going to talk about how the White House is right now politically and with the President's uh disagreements with some members of the White House, press corps, and the organizations who cover them, eager to let you hear their perspectives on those big stories. But before they join us, my reported monologue on the midterms Uh, if you follow my work, you know I've been reporting of late the strength that Republican strategists and candidates see in a lot of these places for the Democrats, the Democratic Party looking to be in a strong position. What's countervailing to the notion that there's gonna be what I call a blue tsunami?
What's countervailing, even though Republican candidates look to be challenged in places like Kansas? Iowa, even South Carolina and Mississippi, what's countervailing is some races where Republicans look to be in a strong position, not just according to Republicans, but to Democrats. So how do you explain that? If the national environment is so dangerous for Republicans, why are some people, like Mike Lawler, running for reelection in the House, in a strong position? I want to talk to you today about four Senate races all along the northern border of the United States. All targeted center races. One in Maine. controlled by Republicans currently, incumbent Susan Collins, and then three Democratic held seats, all open, all with no Democratic incumbent, in all four of these races, Maine, New Hampshire,
Michigan and Minnesota. You can see them all running across the northern part of the country, all blue, uh three blue hole L and one ma in one in Maine Republican L. Even Democrats will tell you that these races are competitive. And the polling bears that out. And so the question I'm going to answer to you today, from having talked to Democrats and Republicans nationally and in these four states is why are these races competitive? And are there things about these races that are just unique that make them competitive? Or does this suggest that maybe, maybe this isn't going to be quite the blowout that some say? So let's quickly run through the polling and you can see how close these races are. Start with Maine F one.
Uh these are real clear politics averages. Again, uh I wouldn't show you public polling if it didn't match with what I'm hearing privately in this round. race uh it's within the margin of error, the Democrat marginally up, but this race is basically tied. Troy Jackson, the Democrat against Republican incumbent Susan Collins, head over next door to New Hampshire. This one, the public polling's a little bit different, but uh six point ahead for Chris Pappas the Democrat against John Sununu, the Republican, in an open seat now held by Democrats. My sources say the race is closer than that. Then head over a slightly more to the west in Minn in Michigan. This is one of the marquee races everybody talks about.
Dr. El Sayad, Abdullah Sayad. Mm within the margin of error against Mike Rogers. My sources say the race is closer than that. And El Said still has some difficulties, we'll talk about. And then one more over Minnesota.
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