Why Argentina Needs Bailout After Bailout After Bailout

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Odd Lots 42 min 6 speakers 8 chapters transcribed 1 month ago
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Why is Argentina constantly needing bailouts and what triggers the latest $40 billion U.S. Treasury aid?

Jennifer Zabasaja 0:00
A new chapter in global growth is being written, and much of it is happening in Africa.
Gregory Makoff 0:05
Africans need to invest. There are deals to be done and business to be won.
Jennifer Zabasaja 0:09
I'm Jennifer Zabasaja. Every week on the Next Africa podcast, we track capital flows and political shifts shaping the continent's future.
Unknown 0:17
The digitalization of Africa.
Jason Kelly 0:19
Africa is gonna power its growth. Bridging the world of something like HIV is possible. Population growth is so enormous in Africa.
Jennifer Zabasaja 0:25
Listen to Next Africa on Apple, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Unknown 0:32
Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News.
Tracy Alloway 0:48
Hello and welcome to another episode of the Odd Thoughts Podcast. I'm Tracy Alloway.
Joe Weisenthal 0:52
And I'm Joe Weisenthal.
Tracy Alloway 0:54
Joe, we are in Washington, DC. Do you know who else is in our nation's capital?
Joe Weisenthal 0:59
Lots of people lots of people are in our nation's capital.
Tracy Alloway 1:02
Yes.
Joe Weisenthal 1:02
Right now. The li I could go on and on. There's a lot of people who live there permanently, but also a lot of people visiting this week like we are.
Tracy Alloway 1:08
True. Okay, so one person in particular is visiting who is of note for this particular podcast, and that is Javier Millet. He is the president of Argentina, and he's meeting with Trump today. They're supposed to finalize like the twenty billion dollar swap that Argentina just got from the US Treasury. Basically, Argentina is getting their like umpteenth bailout. I tried to count all of them, but then I stopped because I was like, I have a life. But normally a lot of those bailouts come from the IMF. This one's coming from the Treasury, so it's fairly unusual. It also comes with a lot fewer terms than some other deals. But this is a good time to talk about Argentina and why it seems to constantly be in financial trouble and either defaulting or on the verge of a default.
Joe Weisenthal 1:55
You know I'm like traumatized by Argentina topics, right? Wait, why? Well, I've probably said it once or twice before on the podcast, but you know, one the first time I applied for a job in New York City was with uh Brad Setzer. Uh-oh. And and he was like and in the middle of the interview he's like, How would you characterize this is two thousand and six, maybe. He's like, How would you characterize the struggles of Argentina? And I just totally blanked. I like literally didn't get a word out and I didn't get the job. Obviously. So I've sort of This is a huge blind spot for me and it's almost like a blind spot I'm afraid to revisit. But we have to dive in. I have to learn more eventually. One more bailout.
Joe Weisenthal 2:28
This one's gonna work, right? Like this one's gonna be the last. This one's gonna be the last.
Tracy Alloway 2:31
One one more lane, bro. Yes. So and you know the uh the other interesting thing about this is Malay was he was initially praised for reducing inflation. I think it was something like over two hundred percent and it got down to thirty-three percent, which by US standards is still pretty high. But he did that by slashing government spending and selling Argentina's FX reserves to prop up the peso. And now fast forward a little bit of time and that approach. Which doesn't seem to be working anymore. So again, there's lots to talk about.
Joe Weisenthal 3:02
There's so much about Argentina that confuses me, including like why is it like this? Because there are lots of countries that have institutional struggles of various sorts. There are a lot of countries that are poor. There are a lot of countries that whatever. I can't think of any other country j that just is always, always at the trough like this. It's not that poor of a country, et cetera. I don't really understand why this is this persistent thing distinct to this country.
Tracy Alloway 3:26
All right, our first question will be why is Argentina like this?
Joe Weisenthal 3:29
Yeah, why is Argentina like this?
Tracy Alloway 3:31
And then after we record this interview you can write a little essay for Brad Setzer and send it to him for his own. Yes. And he'll hire
Joe Weisenthal 3:38
me.
Tracy Alloway 3:38
All right, well, I'm very happy to say that we do, in fact, have the perfect guest. We are going to be speaking with Gregory Makoff.

What historical patterns of overspending and default have shaped Argentina’s recurring debt crises?

Tracy Alloway 3:44
He is the author of Default: The Landmark Court Battle over Argentina's $100 billion debt restructuring.

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