Predicting the 2026 F1 Championship: 22nd to 11th

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P1 with Matt and Tommy 31 min 3 speakers 4 chapters transcribed
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What makes this F1 Championship prediction so challenging?

Unknown 0:05
Hello everybody and welcome back to the P1 Podcast with Matt and Tommy. We are finally here for one of the most highly anticipated... videos, podcasts that we do all year predicting the entire table from last to first and then reflecting on it at the end of the year of just how bad or good, sometimes good-ish.
Matt 0:31
Really?
Unknown 0:32
Kind of. Maybe one or two. But I think with this one, we might well be truly cooked, Tommy, because it's a massive regulation shift. We don't fully know the pecking order, but this is what makes...
Tommy 0:44
doing this so much fun it's fun it's so so difficult i am not joking when i say particularly my top like six maybe like eight to top eight i have changed multiple times like it's one of those where like no matter what you do it feels like you're disrespecting someone basically yes it's crazy isn't it
Unknown 1:08
It really is. That's something that I felt the entire way through. It wasn't even the top eight.

Who is predicted to finish in 22nd place and why?

Unknown 1:13
I was genuinely putting people... And I have this every year.
Tommy 1:16
Yeah, I'm like, they can't be seventh. I never get used to it. And then I'm like, oh, but they can't be seventh. They can't be seventh. I can't put this person 19th.
Unknown 1:22
Oh, but I don't think their car's going to be very good. So therefore, I'm going to put them there. It's going to be fascinating. I'm sure every single one of you will agree entirely with our predictions.
Tommy 1:31
I just hope we disagree. Please don't do the same top five like last year.
Unknown 1:37
That would be insane this year in particular. Last year was fair enough because it was the end of the regulations. This is one of my favourite podcasts to do. It genuinely is.
Matt 1:48
Let's get straight into the news and start... with 22nd position.
Unknown 1:55
Who is winning the wooden spoon this year where we have 11 teams on the grid? My 22nd place. And again, I'm going to say this once. I'm going to say this 100 times. No disrespect. Sergio Perez. I'm sorry. Look, this is not going to go down well for Perez fans. However, it was a head-to-head duel, spoilers, head-to-head duel between the two Cadillac drivers. I have not put Bottas 12th. I'm going to tell you that right now. It was a head-to-head duel between the two Cadillac drivers, and I have rather humorously backed Bottas the entire way through. It's a head-to-head war between me and Tommy because, of course, he is backing Perez for this year. I'm backing my boy Bottas. So, look, I have to put Perez 22nd.
Unknown 2:45
He will, I'm sure, do a good job in that Cadillac. But he is going to be restricted massively by the machinery he has. And I firmly believe the Cadillac will be the slowest team throughout the entire year. And therefore, I'm sorry, but it had to be done.
Tommy 3:02
So in 22nd place, I have picked Valtteri Bottas. No surprise. I don't think anyone will be surprised about this. I've not changed my opinion on the fact that, you know, we have this joke with Perez and Bottas. Unfortunately for Cadillac, they are, I think, looking like they're going to be last if Aston Martin can up their game and finish a race, of course. And Cadillac, yeah, they're going to struggle. They've got two very experienced and good drivers and race winners. But, you know, I don't think it's a crazy shout to say that one of them is going to have to be last in the championship. And I'm backing Perez over Bottas still, like we've kind of joked in the past. So I've gone for Bottas in 22nd place.
Tommy 3:47
All right, let's head to penultimate last, 21st. So 21st, no surprise, it's Sergio Perez. I think the Cadillacs will struggle to get points. But this was the reason why I backed Perez in the first place is those crazy races. He was always one in a false India that could get a podium in a midfield car in an absolute bonkers race. And, you know, if we have a couple of bonkers races in a season, I just think that Perez is more likely than Bottas to somehow spawn into like a, it could even be 12th, you know, like who knows what you're actually going to end up beating your teammate on because it might not even be a point. It might just be a position. So, yeah, I'm backing Sergio Perez to finish ahead of his teammate this year.

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