Did Trump Already LOSE the War in Iran? (ft. Ian Bremmer and Dan Senor)
episode
Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
48 min
5 speakers
5 chapters
transcribed 6 months ago
Transcript
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What is the main topic discussed in this episode?
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I would argue right now the momentum has shifted. And that Iran is winning. And that this has been what I call arguably the greatest snatching defeat from the jaws of victory in recent geopolitical history.
So, my gosh, we are, what, 25, 26 days ahead? into this war, it is, you guys are talking like it's over. You guys are talking like it's over and the US is walking away with its tail between its legs. We're at war with Iran. Everyone basically understands that, even if not everyone, for political reasons, wants to say it out loud. We're in war with Iran. It's funny because you could say the same thing about Russia, and yet Trump clearly disagrees and has acted in ways that shows he disagrees for reasons that he thinks are aligned with America First. And when Trump himself is telling the American people that this is going to be easy, it's going to be over, there's going to be no cost, don't worry about it, the president is driving the messaging of we don't need to be patient.
We don't need to because this war is going to be easy and it's going to be out. We're going to be done. And he failed.
Welcome to Raging Moderates. I'm Scott Galloway.
And I'm Jessica Tarlis.
So I'm really excited about this. Today we're doing something a little bit different. And that is, I actually really enjoy, I like Piers Morgan and I've been on the show a few times. But after watching it, sometimes I want to shower. And at the same time, occasionally I watch CNN's show with Abby Phillips, which I think they should rename I Feel Stupider, where they basically have someone come on and say something really fucking stupid and then have a bunch of B-League progressives get outraged. God, I'm falling into the same trap here. Anyways, I wanted to bring on two people who have sometimes similar views, sometimes don't, and have a really thoughtful conversation, and especially about the war in Iran.
And I couldn't think of anyone better or two people that I not only respect, but I like a great deal and would call friends. And that is Dan Senor, host of Call Me Back, and Ian Bremmer, president of the Eurasia Group, and obviously my partner in crime here, Jess Tarloff. Our goal here is simple. We want to cut through the noise, figure out what actually is happening in this war and what it all means for the U.S., the global economy, and what comes next. So let's set the table. Trump says the U.S. is in very strong talks with Iran. and has delayed potential strikes. But Iran is denying that any negotiations are happening, accusing the U.S. of trying to calm volatile energy markets. I would agree he's sending false flags so he can engage in massive insider trading, but that's just one theory.
At the same time, there are reports of indirect back-channel communications through intermediaries, including Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff involved, But those appear to be early stage and focused on de-escalation, not resolution. There's also new reporting today that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman MBS has been encouraging Trump to continue the war, seeing an opportunity to remake the region. Meanwhile, the fighting continues to escalate across multiple fronts, U.S. and Israeli strikes in Iran, Iranian retaliation, and ongoing conflict in Lebanon.
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Chapters
5 chapters
1
What is the main topic discussed in this episode?
0:00–6:44
2
What are the initial perspectives on the U.S. strategy in the Iran conflict?
6:44–11:41
3
How is Trump's messaging affecting public perception of the war?
11:41–30:45
4
What are the implications of Iran's military capabilities in the conflict?
30:45–38:08
5
How do regional dynamics influence U.S. actions in Iran?
38:08–48:22
Speakers
5 identifiedMore from Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov
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